TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
MC Selects - Gajda
2–5
Boch Blazers - Busch
Current model vs. Result
180 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
MC Selects - Gajda 7.1%
Draw 5.7%
87.2% Boch Blazers - Busch
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.20 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = MC Selects - Gajda, columns = Boch Blazers - Busch.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.