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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli
2–3
MC Selects - Gajda

Current model vs. Result

180 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli 35.2% Draw 12.6% 52.2% MC Selects - Gajda
MC Selects - Gajda won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.94 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli, columns = MC Selects - Gajda.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.