TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Northern Twisters - Weiand
2–7
Spartans - Savage
Current model vs. Result
180 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Northern Twisters - Weiand 20.8%
Draw 11.1%
68.0% Spartans - Savage
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.56 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northern Twisters - Weiand, columns = Spartans - Savage.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.