TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
MC Selects - Gajda
7–8
Providence (North) - Bradley
Current model vs. Result
180 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
MC Selects - Gajda 13.2%
86.8% Providence (North) - Bradley
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.20 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = MC Selects - Gajda, columns = Providence (North) - Bradley.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.