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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
IHC East 17 - Bonito
4–5
Team Merrimack West

Current model vs. Result

218 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

IHC East 17 - Bonito 60.4% Draw 12.3% 27.3% Team Merrimack West
Team Merrimack West won
Favored Draw Underdog
Mild upset

1.87 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC East 17 - Bonito, columns = Team Merrimack West.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.