TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
IHC East 17 - Bonito
4–1
MC Selects
Current model vs. Result
218 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
IHC East 17 - Bonito 39.5%
Draw 15.2%
45.4% MC Selects
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.34 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC East 17 - Bonito, columns = MC Selects.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.