TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
MC Selects
3–1
Young Guns
Current model vs. Result
218 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
MC Selects 30.7%
Draw 14.5%
54.8% Young Guns
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
1.70 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = MC Selects, columns = Young Guns.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.