TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Team Merrimack West
7–3
MC Selects
Current model vs. Result
218 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack West 22.2%
Draw 9.1%
68.7% MC Selects
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
2.17 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack West, columns = MC Selects.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.