TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Boston Jr Dogs (Red)
5–10
Team Merrimack West
Current model vs. Result
218 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 51.3%
48.7% Team Merrimack West
Favored
Underdog
As expected
1.04 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Boston Jr Dogs (Red), columns = Team Merrimack West.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.