TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Manchester Inferno - Michaud
3–6
Bay State Waves 2017 UG
Current model vs. Result
145 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Manchester Inferno - Michaud 22.9%
Draw 11.2%
65.9% Bay State Waves 2017 UG
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.60 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Manchester Inferno - Michaud, columns = Bay State Waves 2017 UG.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.