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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Manchester Inferno - Michaud
1–11
Spartans - Staubitz

Current model vs. Result

145 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Manchester Inferno - Michaud 0.4% Draw 0.5% 99.1% Spartans - Staubitz
Spartans - Staubitz won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.01 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Manchester Inferno - Michaud, columns = Spartans - Staubitz.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.