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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Providence (South) - Ciresi
4–8
Little Stars - Laverty

Current model vs. Result

145 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Providence (South) - Ciresi 14.0% Draw 7.8% 78.2% Little Stars - Laverty
Little Stars - Laverty won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.35 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence (South) - Ciresi, columns = Little Stars - Laverty.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.