TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Feb 28, 2026
Shamrocks - Cooke
2–7
Minuteman Sparks - Griffin
Current model vs. Result
145 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Cooke 5.5%
Draw 5.6%
88.9% Minuteman Sparks - Griffin
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.17 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Cooke, columns = Minuteman Sparks - Griffin.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.