TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Final · Mar 08, 2026
Minuteman Sparks - Griffin
5–6
Spartans - Staubitz
Current model vs. Result
145 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 17.8%
82.2% Spartans - Staubitz
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.28 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks - Griffin, columns = Spartans - Staubitz.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.