TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 07, 2026
Little Stars - Laverty
2–10
Minuteman Sparks - Griffin
Current model vs. Result
145 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Little Stars - Laverty 25.8%
74.2% Minuteman Sparks - Griffin
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.43 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Little Stars - Laverty, columns = Minuteman Sparks - Griffin.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.