TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Waves 2018 Elite
1–3
Team Boston 2018 Elite
Current model vs. Result
153 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Waves 2018 Elite 8.5%
Draw 13.6%
77.9% Team Boston 2018 Elite
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.36 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Waves 2018 Elite, columns = Team Boston 2018 Elite.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.