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TOURNAMENT FINAL Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Minuteman Sparks
4–1
Bay State Waves 2018 Elite

Current model vs. Result

153 games in sample

Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Sparks 27.5% Draw 23.9% 48.6% Bay State Waves 2018 Elite
Minuteman Sparks won
Favored Draw Underdog
Mild upset

1.86 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks, columns = Bay State Waves 2018 Elite.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.