TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
South Shore Knights
1–6
Team Merrimack
Current model vs. Result
153 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
South Shore Knights 15.1%
Draw 13.5%
71.5% Team Merrimack
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.48 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = South Shore Knights, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.