TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
Young Guns
5–1
Boston Jr Dogs
Current model vs. Result
153 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Young Guns 40.3%
Draw 18.4%
41.4% Boston Jr Dogs
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.31 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Young Guns, columns = Boston Jr Dogs.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.