TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool B · Mar 01, 2026
MC Selects
0–6
Team Merrimack East
Current model vs. Result
154 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
MC Selects 12.5%
Draw 11.4%
76.1% Team Merrimack East
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.39 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = MC Selects, columns = Team Merrimack East.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.