TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 2 · Mar 01, 2026
Team Merrimack East
0–7
Boston Jr Dogs (Red)
Current model vs. Result
154 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack East 24.3%
75.7% Boston Jr Dogs (Red)
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.40 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack East, columns = Boston Jr Dogs (Red).
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.