TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Waves 2018 UG
2–6
Minuteman Sparks - ONeil
Current model vs. Result
193 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Waves 2018 UG 10.0%
Draw 10.5%
79.5% Minuteman Sparks - ONeil
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.33 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Waves 2018 UG, columns = Minuteman Sparks - ONeil.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.