TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Bay State Waves 2018 UG
1–1
Little Stars - Gorman
UPSET
Current model vs. Result
193 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Waves 2018 UG 24.1%
Draw 16.7%
59.2% Little Stars - Gorman
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Major upset
2.58 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Waves 2018 UG, columns = Little Stars - Gorman.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.