TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A · Mar 01, 2026
Team Merrimack West
1–11
Minuteman Sparks - ONeil
Current model vs. Result
193 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack West 0.2%
Draw 0.4%
99.4% Minuteman Sparks - ONeil
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.01 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack West, columns = Minuteman Sparks - ONeil.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.