TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1 · Mar 07, 2026
Little Stars - Gorman
2–4
Minuteman Sparks - ONeil
Current model vs. Result
193 games in sample
Calculated from the current model; not a stored pre-game forecast
Little Stars - Gorman 22.7%
77.3% Minuteman Sparks - ONeil
Favored
Underdog
As expected
0.37 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Little Stars - Gorman, columns = Minuteman Sparks - ONeil.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.