TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A
· Feb 28, 2026
Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite
4–4
Top Gun
UPSET
Pre-game Probabilities
Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite 18.8%
Draw 12.8%
68.4% Top Gun
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Expected Goals — Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite
2.57
Expected Goals — Top Gun
4.35
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Breakers 2016 Elite, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.