TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1
· Mar 07, 2026
Minuteman Flames
7–6
Top Gun
Pre-game Probabilities
Elimination game — ties go to overtime. Draw probability has been redistributed.
Minuteman Flames 19.5%
80.5% Top Gun
Favored
Underdog
Expected Goals — Minuteman Flames
3.19
Expected Goals — Top Gun
5.4
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.