TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
Semifinal 1
· Feb 28, 2026
NorthStars - Tuccio
vs
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
NorthStars - Tuccio
vs
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Pre-game Probabilities
Elimination game — ties go to overtime. Draw probability has been redistributed.
NorthStars - Tuccio
42.3%
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
57.7%
NorthStars - Tuccio
42.3%
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Favored
Underdog
Expected Goals — NorthStars - Tuccio
2.67
Expected Goals — Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
3.07
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Tuccio, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.