TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
Semifinal 2
· Feb 28, 2026
Minuteman Sparks
vs
Providence
Minuteman Sparks
vs
Providence
Pre-game Probabilities
Elimination game — ties go to overtime. Draw probability has been redistributed.
Minuteman Sparks
2.9%
Providence
97.1%
Minuteman Sparks
2.9%
Providence
97.1%
97.1%
Favored
Underdog
Expected Goals — Minuteman Sparks
2.9
Expected Goals — Providence
8.68
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks, columns = Providence.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.