TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
Semifinal 1
· Feb 28, 2026
Young Guns
vs
Team Merrimack
Young Guns
vs
Team Merrimack
Pre-game Probabilities
Elimination game — ties go to overtime. Draw probability has been redistributed.
Young Guns
1.0%
Team Merrimack
99.0%
Young Guns
1.0%
Team Merrimack
99.0%
99.0%
Favored
Underdog
Expected Goals — Young Guns
1.5
Expected Goals — Team Merrimack
7.42
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Young Guns, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.