TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A
· Feb 28, 2026
Team Merrimack West
5–3
Young Guns
UPSET
Pre-game Probabilities
Team Merrimack West 14.9%
Draw 9.2%
75.9% Young Guns
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Expected Goals — Team Merrimack West
3.45
Expected Goals — Young Guns
6.12
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack West, columns = Young Guns.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.