TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
Semifinal 1
· Mar 07, 2026
Minuteman Sparks
vs
Team Merrimack
Minuteman Sparks
vs
Team Merrimack
Pre-game Probabilities
Elimination game — ties go to overtime. Draw probability has been redistributed.
Minuteman Sparks
27.9%
Team Merrimack
72.1%
Minuteman Sparks
27.9%
Team Merrimack
72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Favored
Underdog
Expected Goals — Minuteman Sparks
1.27
Expected Goals — Team Merrimack
2.09
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.