TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
FINAL
Semifinal 1
· Mar 07, 2026
Minuteman Sparks
0–1
Team Merrimack
Pre-game Probabilities
Elimination game — ties go to overtime. Draw probability has been redistributed.
Minuteman Sparks 32.0%
68.0% Team Merrimack
Favored
Underdog
Expected Goals — Minuteman Sparks
1.48
Expected Goals — Team Merrimack
2.19
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.