TOURNAMENT
FINAL
Pool A
· Feb 28, 2026
Team Merrimack West
2–2
Bay State Waves 2018 UG
UPSET
Pre-game Probabilities
Team Merrimack West 11.1%
Draw 10.3%
78.6% Bay State Waves 2018 UG
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Expected Goals — Team Merrimack West
2.04
Expected Goals — Bay State Waves 2018 UG
4.57
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack West, columns = Bay State Waves 2018 UG.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.