TOURNAMENT
ELIMINATION
Semifinal 2
· Feb 28, 2026
Team Merrimack West
vs
Bay State Waves 2018 UG
Team Merrimack West
vs
Bay State Waves 2018 UG
Pre-game Probabilities
Elimination game — ties go to overtime. Draw probability has been redistributed.
Team Merrimack West
11.6%
Bay State Waves 2018 UG
88.4%
Team Merrimack West
11.6%
Bay State Waves 2018 UG
88.4%
88.4%
Favored
Underdog
Expected Goals — Team Merrimack West
1.74
Expected Goals — Bay State Waves 2018 UG
4.19
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack West, columns = Bay State Waves 2018 UG.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.