Season Review

What is Surprisal? Surprisal measures how surprising a result was, based on pre-game probabilities. 0 bits = perfectly predicted. 3+ bits = major upset. A result is flagged as an UPSET when surprisal exceeds 2.5 bits.

Standings

# Team GP W L T GF GA PTS
1 Top Gun 35 28 4 3 170 47 59
2 Boston Jr Eagles 36 23 11 2 130 79 48
3 Cyclones Academy 34 18 9 7 113 77 43
4 Islanders Hockey Club (East) 36 17 12 7 108 82 41
5 Seacoast Spartans 35 17 12 6 100 101 40
6 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 35 16 13 6 100 82 38
7 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 36 11 18 7 100 122 29
8 Minuteman Flames 36 10 21 5 85 132 25
9 Islanders Hockey Club (West) 36 9 24 3 78 132 21
10 South Shore Kings 33 3 28 2 45 175 8

Game Log

Date Matchup Score Pre-game Probability Surprisal Flag
Feb 22 South Shore Kings @ Seacoast Spartans 1–5
4.4%
89.2%
0.16
Feb 22 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Cyclones Academy 4–1
32.3%
47.3%
1.63
Feb 22 Minuteman Flames @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 6–4
28.9%
54.5%
1.79
Feb 22 Top Gun @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 6–2
94.9%
1.6%
0.08
Feb 22 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 3–4
52.1%
27.9%
1.84
Feb 21 Top Gun @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–0
76.6%
10.1%
0.38
Feb 21 Cyclones Academy @ Boston Jr Eagles 1–2
36.5%
44.3%
1.17
Feb 21 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Minuteman Flames 4–2
66.6%
17.5%
0.59
Feb 21 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 5–1
53.9%
29.1%
0.89
Feb 21 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Minuteman Flames 7–0
62.7%
20.0%
0.67
Feb 15 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Top Gun 0–7
10.7%
74.9%
0.42
Feb 15 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 0–5
26.5%
55.7%
0.84
Feb 15 Minuteman Flames @ Seacoast Spartans 1–4
25.3%
58.1%
0.78
Feb 15 Cyclones Academy @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 3–0
76.8%
11.4%
0.38
Feb 14 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 1–2
39.0%
38.7%
1.37
Feb 14 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Top Gun 0–6
5.0%
88.0%
0.18
Feb 14 Cyclones Academy @ Seacoast Spartans 2–2
59.5%
24.1%
2.61 UPSET
Feb 14 Minuteman Flames @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 1–3
46.8%
35.1%
1.51
Feb 13 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Seacoast Spartans 1–2
50.8%
30.7%
1.70
Feb 08 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–3
27.3%
54.0%
0.89
Feb 08 Seacoast Spartans @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 1–4
33.1%
48.1%
1.06
Feb 08 Cyclones Academy @ South Shore Kings 3–1
95.9%
1.4%
0.06
Feb 08 Top Gun @ Boston Jr Eagles 5–1
62.8%
19.8%
0.67
Feb 07 Seacoast Spartans @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 4–2
61.0%
23.1%
0.71
Feb 07 Boston Jr Eagles @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 4–1
69.1%
17.1%
0.53
Feb 07 Top Gun @ South Shore Kings 10–0
99.0%
0.2%
0.01
Feb 07 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Minuteman Flames 3–1
62.0%
21.6%
0.69
Feb 07 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Cyclones Academy 1–1
30.2%
50.8%
2.40
Feb 07 Seacoast Spartans @ Minuteman Flames 5–2
54.2%
29.0%
0.88
Feb 03 Cyclones Academy @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 5–2
78.8%
10.4%
0.34
Feb 01 Top Gun @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–1
74.4%
11.7%
0.43
Feb 01 Boston Jr Eagles @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–4
56.8%
24.8%
2.01
Feb 01 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Minuteman Flames 2–5
54.4%
29.0%
1.78
Feb 01 Seacoast Spartans @ South Shore Kings 5–2
88.3%
4.9%
0.18
Feb 01 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–6
8.9%
80.5%
0.31
Jan 31 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–5
27.4%
52.6%
0.93
Jan 31 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–3
19.8%
63.4%
2.58 UPSET
Jan 31 Minuteman Flames @ Top Gun 2–9
4.1%
89.1%
0.17
Jan 31 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 1–6
19.8%
63.4%
0.66
Jan 31 South Shore Kings @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 1–6
5.9%
86.8%
0.20
Jan 25 Boston Jr Eagles @ Top Gun 1–2
21.2%
61.3%
0.70
Jan 25 Seacoast Spartans @ Cyclones Academy 4–2
19.9%
65.4%
2.33
Jan 24 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 7–3
59.5%
21.7%
0.75
Jan 24 Top Gun @ Cyclones Academy 5–2
62.3%
21.0%
0.68
Jan 24 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Seacoast Spartans 3–1
50.0%
31.2%
1.00
Jan 24 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Eagles 1–6
1.3%
95.9%
0.06
Jan 17 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Seacoast Spartans 2–3
25.6%
57.3%
0.80
Jan 11 Seacoast Spartans @ Top Gun 2–11
10.6%
76.9%
0.38
Jan 11 Minuteman Flames @ Cyclones Academy 3–6
12.1%
75.4%
0.41
Jan 11 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Minuteman Flames 3–4
37.1%
42.9%
1.22
Jan 11 South Shore Kings @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 0–4
4.9%
87.6%
0.19
Jan 10 South Shore Kings @ Top Gun 0–9
0.5%
98.0%
0.03
Jan 10 South Shore Kings @ Top Gun 1–8
0.5%
98.0%
0.03
Jan 10 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 1–5
32.7%
49.0%
1.03
Jan 10 Seacoast Spartans @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–3
19.6%
64.4%
2.35
Jan 10 Cyclones Academy @ Minuteman Flames 6–2
73.4%
13.2%
0.45
Jan 04 Seacoast Spartans @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–1
33.3%
47.5%
1.58
Jan 04 Boston Jr Eagles @ Top Gun 2–1
24.6%
56.9%
2.03
Jan 04 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 3–3
25.5%
57.8%
2.58 UPSET
Jan 04 South Shore Kings @ Minuteman Flames 1–7
14.4%
71.4%
0.49
Jan 04 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Cyclones Academy 3–1
21.1%
61.8%
2.24
Jan 03 Top Gun @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–0
72.4%
13.5%
0.47
Jan 03 Cyclones Academy @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 3–1
68.3%
17.8%
0.55
Jan 03 Cyclones Academy @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 5–5
68.3%
17.8%
2.84 UPSET
Jan 03 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Eagles 1–1
25.7%
57.5%
2.57 UPSET
Jan 03 Seacoast Spartans @ Minuteman Flames 4–4
56.6%
25.0%
2.45
Jan 03 South Shore Kings @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 0–4
17.8%
67.7%
0.56
Dec 28 Minuteman Flames @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–2
17.3%
66.3%
2.53 UPSET
Dec 28 Cyclones Academy @ Top Gun 4–3
25.6%
55.8%
1.97
Dec 28 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ South Shore Kings 6–0
81.3%
9.6%
0.30
Dec 28 Seacoast Spartans @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 4–1
56.0%
26.5%
0.84
Dec 27 South Shore Kings @ Cyclones Academy 0–9
3.6%
91.2%
0.13
Dec 27 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 6–3
50.3%
31.7%
0.99
Dec 27 Boston Jr Eagles @ Seacoast Spartans 0–6
75.7%
12.3%
3.02 UPSET
Dec 21 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–3
45.8%
35.0%
2.39
Dec 21 Minuteman Flames @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 1–1
36.5%
44.0%
2.36
Dec 21 Boston Jr Eagles @ South Shore Kings 5–0
94.4%
2.3%
0.08
Dec 21 Seacoast Spartans @ Cyclones Academy 1–4
18.9%
66.2%
0.60
Dec 21 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Top Gun 1–6
9.7%
79.6%
0.33
Dec 21 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Eagles 1–6
2.3%
94.4%
0.08
Dec 20 Minuteman Flames @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–1
4.8%
88.7%
4.37 UPSET
Dec 20 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Seacoast Spartans 5–5
44.1%
37.3%
2.43
Dec 20 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ South Shore Kings 8–2
76.5%
11.8%
0.39
Dec 20 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Top Gun 2–3
16.9%
67.7%
0.56
Dec 20 Minuteman Flames @ Boston Jr Eagles 1–2
4.8%
88.7%
0.17
Dec 14 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Top Gun 1–7
8.4%
80.9%
0.31
Dec 14 Boston Jr Eagles @ South Shore Kings 11–1
92.3%
3.2%
0.12
Dec 13 Top Gun @ South Shore Kings 5–0
92.9%
2.8%
0.11
Dec 13 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Boston Jr Eagles 0–4
16.9%
70.5%
0.50
Dec 13 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 1–3
56.5%
25.5%
1.97
Dec 07 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Seacoast Spartans 2–6
53.9%
28.3%
1.82
Dec 07 Minuteman Flames @ Top Gun 4–3
3.1%
91.3%
5.02 UPSET
Dec 06 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ South Shore Kings 6–2
79.0%
10.9%
0.34
Dec 06 Boston Jr Eagles @ Minuteman Flames 1–1
90.9%
4.1%
4.32 UPSET
Nov 30 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 2–3
65.7%
19.7%
2.35
Nov 30 Boston Jr Eagles @ Cyclones Academy 5–4
48.0%
35.2%
1.06
Nov 30 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Minuteman Flames 5–1
67.8%
18.4%
0.56
Nov 29 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Cyclones Academy 1–5
16.8%
70.1%
0.51
Nov 29 Minuteman Flames @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–6
14.2%
72.8%
0.46
Nov 29 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Cyclones Academy 0–2
16.8%
70.1%
0.51
Nov 23 Seacoast Spartans @ Top Gun 1–7
9.8%
79.0%
0.34
Nov 23 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–2
34.7%
48.1%
1.53
Nov 23 Boston Jr Eagles @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 6–1
77.0%
12.6%
0.38
Nov 22 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Top Gun 2–2
14.1%
72.7%
2.92 UPSET
Nov 22 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 3–3
53.6%
29.5%
2.56 UPSET
Nov 16 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 4–0
40.2%
42.9%
1.31
Nov 16 Cyclones Academy @ South Shore Kings 5–3
84.5%
7.4%
0.24
Nov 16 Boston Jr Eagles @ Seacoast Spartans 6–1
67.7%
18.4%
0.56
Nov 16 Top Gun @ Minuteman Flames 9–0
82.9%
7.6%
0.27
Nov 15 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Seacoast Spartans 0–3
55.2%
28.3%
1.82
Nov 15 Top Gun @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 4–4
74.0%
13.1%
2.95 UPSET
Nov 15 Boston Jr Eagles @ Cyclones Academy 4–6
49.1%
33.3%
1.59
Nov 15 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 5–3
18.2%
67.6%
2.46
Nov 09 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–0
48.7%
34.6%
1.04
Nov 09 Minuteman Flames @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 0–4
26.0%
58.4%
0.78
Nov 08 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Minuteman Flames 2–1
73.3%
14.7%
0.45
Nov 08 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–9
21.7%
63.2%
0.66
Nov 02 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 6–1
47.3%
35.8%
1.08
Nov 02 Seacoast Spartans @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 1–2
35.1%
48.5%
1.04
Nov 02 Top Gun @ Minuteman Flames 6–2
79.9%
9.0%
0.32
Nov 01 Cyclones Academy @ Minuteman Flames 3–2
69.7%
16.3%
0.52
Nov 01 Top Gun @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 2–1
78.0%
10.2%
0.36
Nov 01 Seacoast Spartans @ South Shore Kings 3–1
58.4%
26.3%
0.78
Nov 01 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–2
35.3%
48.2%
2.60
Nov 01 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–3
23.3%
62.6%
0.68
Oct 26 Cyclones Academy @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–3
54.2%
28.6%
2.55 UPSET
Oct 26 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 0–5
16.8%
71.0%
0.49
Oct 26 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 4–2
27.0%
57.3%
1.89
Oct 25 Minuteman Flames @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 2–4
31.5%
52.2%
0.94
Oct 25 Cyclones Academy @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 1–3
60.4%
23.4%
2.09
Oct 25 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ South Shore Kings 7–2
58.6%
25.9%
0.77
Oct 19 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–6
26.3%
55.6%
0.85
Oct 19 Seacoast Spartans @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 1–3
37.8%
46.6%
1.10
Oct 19 South Shore Kings @ Minuteman Flames 4–0
19.9%
66.1%
2.33
Oct 18 Top Gun @ Seacoast Spartans 6–4
76.8%
9.4%
0.38
Oct 18 South Shore Kings @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 3–2
26.1%
58.0%
1.94
Oct 18 Boston Jr Eagles @ Minuteman Flames 3–1
55.7%
29.0%
0.85
Oct 18 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 2–5
62.3%
22.2%
2.17
Oct 12 Top Gun @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 5–2
66.4%
14.2%
0.59
Oct 12 Cyclones Academy @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–4
57.6%
21.5%
2.22
Oct 11 Seacoast Spartans @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 1–1
30.6%
53.6%
2.67 UPSET
Oct 11 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 1–4
73.3%
15.1%
2.73 UPSET
Oct 05 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Cyclones Academy 0–5
20.1%
66.8%
0.58
Oct 05 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Top Gun 1–3
8.5%
81.2%
0.30
Oct 04 Top Gun @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 2–1
78.8%
4.4%
0.34
Oct 04 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Seacoast Spartans 2–3
26.6%
55.3%
0.86
Oct 04 Cyclones Academy @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 1–4
64.1%
14.0%
2.83 UPSET
Oct 04 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Eagles 0–1
37.7%
44.4%
1.17
Oct 04 Minuteman Flames @ South Shore Kings 2–4
85.1%
6.0%
4.06 UPSET
Sep 28 South Shore Kings @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–3
1.7%
94.6%
4.76 UPSET
Sep 28 Minuteman Flames @ Cyclones Academy 2–2
14.7%
67.0%
2.45
Sep 28 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Seacoast Spartans 3–5
62.5%
16.1%
2.63 UPSET
Sep 27 Top Gun @ Cyclones Academy 1–1
46.4%
20.8%
1.61
Sep 27 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 1–3
12.4%
74.4%
0.43
Sep 27 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ South Shore Kings 2–2
89.0%
5.5%
4.18 UPSET
Sep 27 Seacoast Spartans @ Boston Jr Eagles 0–4
31.1%
54.9%
0.86
Sep 21 Boston Jr Eagles @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 6–4
44.7%
38.3% ⚠
1.16
Sep 21 Minuteman Flames @ South Shore Kings 4–3
96.9%
0.9% ⚠
0.04
Sep 21 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Cyclones Academy 0–2
22.6%
61.6% ⚠
0.70
Sep 21 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Top Gun 2–1 50/50 —
Sep 20 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ South Shore Kings 5–2 50/50 —
Sep 20 Top Gun @ Seacoast Spartans 4–0 50/50 —
Sep 20 Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall @ Cyclones Academy 2–2 50/50 —
Sep 14 Boston Jr Eagles @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–3 50/50 —
Sep 14 Seacoast Spartans @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–2 50/50 —
Sep 14 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ Minuteman Flames 1–5 50/50 —
Sep 14 South Shore Kings @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 2–6 50/50 —
Sep 13 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ South Shore Kings 5–2 50/50 —
Sep 13 Cyclones Academy @ Seacoast Spartans 5–3 50/50 —
Sep 13 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Providence Capitals (North) - Nuttall 5–2 50/50 —
Sep 13 Islanders Hockey Club (West) @ South Shore Kings 3–0 50/50 —
Sep 13 Minuteman Flames @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–3 50/50 —
Sep 13 Top Gun @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–0 50/50 —
Sep 07 Minuteman Flames @ Seacoast Spartans 2–2 50/50 —
Sep 06 Cyclones Academy @ Boston Jr Eagles 5–1 50/50 —
Aug 30 Boston Jr Eagles @ Islanders Hockey Club (West) 6–2 50/50 —