Season Review

What is Surprisal? Surprisal measures how surprising a result was, based on pre-game probabilities. 0 bits = perfectly predicted. 3+ bits = major upset. A result is flagged as an UPSET when surprisal exceeds 2.5 bits.

Standings

# Team GP W L T GF GA PTS
1 Spartans - Staubitz 33 31 2 0 278 74 62
2 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 34 23 7 4 189 110 50
3 Little Stars - Laverty 34 18 12 4 181 163 40
4 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 34 15 18 1 202 174 31
5 Bay State Waves 2017 UG 32 10 15 7 126 156 27
6 Shamrocks - Cooke 33 9 21 3 101 193 21
7 Providence (South) - Ciresi 27 7 19 1 114 201 15
8 Manchester Inferno - Michaud 33 7 26 0 132 252 14

Game Log

Date Matchup Score Pre-game Probability Surprisal Flag
Feb 22 Spartans - Staubitz @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 6–0
95.3%
2.1%
0.07
Feb 22 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 6–4
9.1%
84.1%
3.46 UPSET
Feb 22 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Little Stars - Laverty 3–2
65.6%
22.6%
0.61
Feb 21 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 13–3
85.2%
9.1%
0.23
Feb 21 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Shamrocks - Cooke 3–3
67.9%
19.9%
3.03 UPSET
Feb 21 Little Stars - Laverty @ Spartans - Staubitz 2–7
3.7%
92.7%
0.11
Feb 15 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 9–2
91.9%
4.2%
0.12
Feb 15 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Spartans - Staubitz 0–6
0.2%
99.5%
0.01
Feb 15 Little Stars - Laverty @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 7–6
40.4%
47.4%
1.31
Feb 15 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Spartans - Staubitz 4–12
0.2%
99.5%
0.01
Feb 14 Little Stars - Laverty @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 1–11
47.6%
40.2%
1.31
Feb 14 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Shamrocks - Cooke 3–3
90.7%
4.4%
4.34 UPSET
Feb 08 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Shamrocks - Cooke 10–3
44.4%
42.1%
1.17
Feb 08 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Spartans - Staubitz 3–6
13.5%
76.8%
0.38
Feb 08 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Little Stars - Laverty 4–8
10.8%
82.6%
0.28
Feb 08 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 5–3
28.7%
59.2%
1.80
Feb 07 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 8–7
59.1%
28.6%
0.76
Feb 07 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Shamrocks - Cooke 2–7
46.5%
40.2%
1.31
Feb 07 Spartans - Staubitz @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 9–1
99.6%
0.1%
0.01
Feb 07 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Shamrocks - Cooke 10–1
46.5%
40.2%
1.10
Feb 01 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 5–2
68.7%
20.9%
0.54
Feb 01 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Spartans - Staubitz 2–9
0.4%
98.9%
0.02
Feb 01 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Little Stars - Laverty 5–3
63.2%
24.6%
0.66
Feb 01 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 5–12
12.1%
80.9%
0.31
Jan 31 Spartans - Staubitz @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 5–4
94.8%
2.6%
0.08
Jan 31 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 3–4
22.3%
64.7%
0.63
Jan 31 Little Stars - Laverty @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 5–3
86.7%
7.9%
0.21
Jan 31 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 6–1
91.8%
4.3%
0.12
Jan 25 Little Stars - Laverty @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 6–6
62.9%
24.9%
3.04 UPSET
Jan 24 Little Stars - Laverty @ Spartans - Staubitz 1–7
4.3%
91.8%
0.12
Jan 24 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 8–6
42.4%
46.3%
1.24
Jan 24 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 2–5
21.5%
67.4%
0.57
Jan 24 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 9–4
42.4%
46.3%
1.24
Jan 18 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 2–2
77.2%
13.3%
3.39 UPSET
Jan 18 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 9–8
8.5%
85.6%
3.55 UPSET
Jan 17 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 4–7
29.2%
58.2%
0.78
Jan 17 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 8–5
1.8%
96.1%
5.79 UPSET
Jan 17 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 10–2
96.1%
1.8%
0.06
Jan 11 Spartans - Staubitz @ Little Stars - Laverty 7–3
92.3%
4.0%
0.12
Jan 11 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 1–8
8.3%
85.9%
0.22
Jan 11 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 0–9
3.7%
93.0%
0.11
Jan 11 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 4–2
20.4%
66.9%
2.29
Jan 10 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Little Stars - Laverty 4–4
4.2%
92.4%
4.88 UPSET
Jan 10 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 8–3
63.3%
25.3%
0.66
Jan 10 Little Stars - Laverty @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 6–2
92.4%
4.2%
0.11
Jan 10 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Shamrocks - Cooke 8–1
89.1%
5.3%
0.17
Jan 04 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Shamrocks - Cooke 8–0
72.7%
16.8%
0.46
Jan 04 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 3–4
13.1%
77.3%
0.37
Jan 04 Spartans - Staubitz @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 5–3
99.9%
0.0%
0.00
Jan 03 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 8–2
87.5%
7.4%
0.19
Jan 03 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 11–4
87.5%
7.4%
0.19
Jan 03 Spartans - Staubitz @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 9–3
96.9%
1.3%
0.05
Jan 03 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 1–5
45.8%
41.0%
1.28
Jan 03 Little Stars - Laverty @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 3–1
23.9%
64.9%
2.07
Dec 27 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 3–2
31.2%
55.9%
1.68
Dec 27 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Little Stars - Laverty 7–8
7.5%
87.5%
0.19
Dec 21 Spartans - Staubitz @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 14–1
99.9%
0.0%
0.00
Dec 21 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 9–10
12.2%
80.5%
0.31
Dec 21 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Little Stars - Laverty 5–7
21.7%
67.0%
0.58
Dec 21 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 1–3
5.5%
89.1%
0.17
Dec 20 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 6–3
8.2%
85.8%
3.61 UPSET
Dec 20 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 3–6
2.2%
95.6%
0.07
Dec 20 Little Stars - Laverty @ Shamrocks - Cooke 7–3
79.6%
12.1%
0.33
Dec 20 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Spartans - Staubitz 2–6
1.7%
96.3%
0.05
Dec 14 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 3–6
94.4%
2.9%
5.13 UPSET
Dec 14 Spartans - Staubitz @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 5–2
80.9%
11.3%
0.31
Dec 13 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Spartans - Staubitz 2–19
0.1%
99.7%
0.00
Dec 13 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 1–10
0.1%
99.6%
0.01
Dec 07 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 5–3
82.8%
10.7%
0.27
Dec 07 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Little Stars - Laverty 10–5
4.0%
92.4%
4.66 UPSET
Dec 07 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Spartans - Staubitz 2–8
2.6%
94.4%
0.08
Dec 07 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 1–4
80.9%
11.8%
3.09 UPSET
Dec 06 Little Stars - Laverty @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 1–10
36.3%
51.0%
0.97
Dec 06 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Shamrocks - Cooke 5–4
27.3%
59.8%
1.87
Nov 30 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 3–4
21.9%
67.3%
0.57
Nov 30 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 12–5 50/50 —
Nov 30 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 8–5 50/50 —
Nov 30 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 6–5
73.4%
16.4%
0.45
Nov 29 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 12–4
96.8%
1.4%
0.05
Nov 29 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Little Stars - Laverty 4–6
7.1%
86.8%
0.20
Nov 23 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Little Stars - Laverty 4–7
0.9%
97.9%
0.03
Nov 23 Spartans - Staubitz @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 7–2
97.0%
1.4%
0.04
Nov 23 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Providence (South) - Ciresi 10–4 50/50 —
Nov 22 Spartans - Staubitz @ Shamrocks - Cooke 8–1
99.1%
0.4%
0.01
Nov 16 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Spartans - Staubitz 2–8
2.7%
94.4%
0.08
Nov 16 Providence (South) - Ciresi @ Little Stars - Laverty 5–9 50/50 —
Nov 16 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Shamrocks - Cooke 1–6
28.4%
57.7%
0.79
Nov 15 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 1–12
12.3%
80.0%
0.32
Nov 15 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Shamrocks - Cooke 7–2
67.9%
19.9%
0.56
Nov 09 Spartans - Staubitz @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 7–0
74.4%
16.4%
0.43
Nov 09 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Little Stars - Laverty 4–9
13.3%
78.8%
0.34
Nov 08 Spartans - Staubitz @ Little Stars - Laverty 6–2
75.8%
15.6%
0.40
Nov 08 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 3–4
9.7%
83.8%
0.25
Nov 02 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Spartans - Staubitz 2–14
0.9%
97.7%
0.03
Nov 02 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Little Stars - Laverty 4–3
12.1%
79.6%
3.05 UPSET
Nov 01 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 2–9
20.1%
67.8%
0.56
Nov 01 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Little Stars - Laverty 3–8
5.0%
90.0%
0.15
Oct 26 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Little Stars - Laverty 8–6
4.5%
91.5%
4.47 UPSET
Oct 25 Spartans - Staubitz @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 9–2
99.5%
0.2%
0.01
Oct 25 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Shamrocks - Cooke 1–2
62.5%
26.0%
1.94
Oct 19 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 0–9
10.2%
82.2%
0.28
Oct 19 Little Stars - Laverty @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 3–3
92.6%
3.6%
4.70 UPSET
Oct 18 Little Stars - Laverty @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 9–1
98.2%
0.7%
0.03
Oct 18 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 3–3
6.6%
87.9%
4.17 UPSET
Oct 18 Spartans - Staubitz @ Shamrocks - Cooke 11–2
95.0%
2.3%
0.07
Oct 12 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 9–14
9.8%
82.6%
0.28
Oct 11 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 4–7
86.4%
7.4%
3.76 UPSET
Oct 05 Spartans - Staubitz @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 10–6
96.5%
1.6%
0.05
Oct 04 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 5–5
59.2%
27.3%
2.88 UPSET
Oct 04 Little Stars - Laverty @ Spartans - Staubitz 9–4
5.6%
89.4%
4.15 UPSET
Sep 28 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 4–3
70.6%
18.6% ⚠
0.50
Sep 28 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 6–1
70.2%
18.9% ⚠
0.51
Sep 27 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 4–3
47.4%
38.7% ⚠
1.08
Sep 21 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 1–8
1.5%
96.8% ⚠
0.05
Sep 21 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Spartans - Staubitz 1–11
0.6%
98.3% ⚠
0.03
Sep 21 Bay State Waves 2017 UG @ Little Stars - Laverty 2–10
15.1%
75.3% ⚠
0.41
Sep 20 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 3–3 50/50 —
Sep 20 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Little Stars - Laverty 2–2
4.5%
91.3% ⚠
4.60 UPSET
Sep 20 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Spartans - Staubitz 1–10
0.0%
100.0% ⚠
0.00
Sep 14 Little Stars - Laverty @ Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko 4–2 50/50 —
Sep 14 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Spartans - Staubitz 3–2
7.6%
92.4% ⚠
3.71 UPSET
Sep 13 Manchester Inferno - Michaud @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 2–7 50/50 —
Sep 13 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Spartans - Staubitz 2–8 50/50 —
Sep 13 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Shamrocks - Cooke 6–3 50/50 —
Sep 07 Spartans - Staubitz @ Bay State Waves 2017 UG 13–1 50/50 —
Sep 07 Little Stars - Laverty @ Minuteman Sparks - Griffin 6–7 50/50 —
Sep 07 Shamrocks - Cooke @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 6–3 50/50 —
Sep 06 Boston Jr Terriers White - Darmetko @ Manchester Inferno - Michaud 8–5 50/50 —
Sep 06 Little Stars - Laverty @ Shamrocks - Cooke 9–3 50/50 —
Sep 06 Minuteman Sparks - Griffin @ Spartans - Staubitz 3–10 50/50 —