Season Review

What is Surprisal? Surprisal measures how surprising a result was, based on pre-game probabilities. 0 bits = perfectly predicted. 3+ bits = major upset. A result is flagged as an UPSET when surprisal exceeds 2.5 bits.

Standings

# Team GP W L T GF GA PTS
1 Bulldogs Hockey Club 36 25 6 5 177 106 55
2 Boston Jr Terriers (White) 36 22 9 5 161 104 49
3 Boston Jr Eagles 36 21 9 6 151 107 48
4 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 36 20 9 7 147 118 47
5 South Shore Kings 35 19 12 4 124 105 42
6 NorthStars Hockey Club 36 11 21 4 102 124 26
7 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 36 12 23 1 114 160 25
8 Islanders Hockey Club (East) 36 11 22 3 93 134 25
9 MassConn United Hockey Club 35 10 22 3 120 145 23
10 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 36 7 25 4 100 186 18

Game Log

Date Matchup Score Pre-game Probability Surprisal Flag
Feb 22 Boston Jr Eagles @ NorthStars Hockey Club 3–2
66.2%
21.3%
0.60
Feb 22 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ South Shore Kings 2–2
55.6%
30.3%
2.83 UPSET
Feb 22 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 5–6
32.8%
52.7%
0.92
Feb 22 MassConn United Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 5–3
22.4%
65.7%
2.16
Feb 22 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 3–8
11.0%
80.9%
0.31
Feb 21 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 2–5
55.7%
30.0%
1.74
Feb 21 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–2
37.9%
47.8%
2.81
Feb 21 NorthStars Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 2–6
30.5%
54.9%
0.86
Feb 21 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–5
49.5%
36.6%
1.45
Feb 21 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 2–2
46.0%
40.1%
2.84
Feb 20 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–4
80.1%
11.5%
3.57 UPSET
Feb 15 South Shore Kings @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 7–3
75.7%
14.3%
0.40
Feb 15 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 7–7
41.1%
44.7%
2.81
Feb 14 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 4–6
59.5%
27.4%
1.87
Feb 14 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ MassConn United Hockey Club 8–3
75.1%
15.1%
0.41
Feb 14 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 7–1
31.6%
54.5%
1.66
Feb 11 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–2
49.7%
35.2%
2.73
Feb 08 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 2–5
13.7%
76.8%
0.38
Feb 08 Boston Jr Eagles @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–5
35.4%
50.7%
0.98
Feb 08 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ South Shore Kings 4–4
48.7%
36.6%
2.77
Feb 08 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 5–6
13.7%
76.8%
0.38
Feb 08 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–4
51.8%
33.3%
1.59
Feb 07 Boston Jr Eagles @ MassConn United Hockey Club 2–0
67.0%
21.4%
0.58
Feb 07 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–2
43.4%
41.5%
1.20
Feb 07 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–5
55.5%
31.0%
1.69
Feb 07 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–3
25.4%
61.2%
0.71
Feb 06 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–3
26.0%
61.2%
1.94
Feb 01 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 6–2
21.8%
66.2%
2.20
Feb 01 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–5
15.4%
74.9%
0.42
Feb 01 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 2–4
60.2%
26.8%
1.90
Feb 01 South Shore Kings @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–2
61.4%
25.0%
0.70
Jan 31 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ South Shore Kings 4–7
27.9%
58.3%
0.78
Jan 31 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–2
77.6%
12.8%
0.37
Jan 31 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Eagles 3–4
6.1%
88.3%
0.18
Jan 31 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ MassConn United Hockey Club 5–1
60.1%
27.2%
0.73
Jan 31 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–7
19.1%
69.0%
0.54
Jan 25 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 6–0
91.4%
4.3%
0.13
Jan 25 Boston Jr Eagles @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 6–7
51.3%
34.6%
1.53
Jan 24 South Shore Kings @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 0–3
29.1%
57.1%
0.81
Jan 24 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 6–4
35.5%
50.5%
1.49
Jan 24 Boston Jr Eagles @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 3–1
88.8%
5.8%
0.17
Jan 24 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ NorthStars Hockey Club 1–2
56.0%
29.9%
1.74
Jan 24 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–3
12.3%
78.4%
0.35
Jan 18 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 2–3
72.4%
16.6%
2.59 UPSET
Jan 18 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 3–5
8.4%
84.8%
0.24
Jan 17 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 6–4
23.9%
63.5%
2.07
Jan 17 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ NorthStars Hockey Club 1–4
19.7%
68.4%
0.55
Jan 11 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Boston Jr Eagles 3–4
56.5%
29.8%
1.74
Jan 11 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 5–1
61.8%
25.4%
0.69
Jan 11 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 3–4
59.0%
27.4%
1.87
Jan 11 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 1–0
74.1%
16.2%
0.43
Jan 10 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–6
20.3%
67.7%
0.56
Jan 10 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Eagles 0–7
7.2%
86.9%
0.20
Jan 10 South Shore Kings @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 2–5
43.6%
41.5%
1.27
Jan 04 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 4–4
80.1%
11.7%
3.60 UPSET
Jan 04 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–7
54.8%
31.6%
1.66
Jan 04 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–2
81.8%
9.9%
0.29
Jan 04 NorthStars Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 1–6
35.3%
50.0%
1.00
Jan 04 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Eagles 0–4
38.4%
47.0%
1.09
Jan 03 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 5–6
52.5%
33.9%
1.56
Jan 03 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 2–6
32.7%
52.9%
0.92
Jan 03 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ NorthStars Hockey Club 5–3
48.4%
36.8%
1.05
Jan 03 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ South Shore Kings 3–1
8.3%
84.8%
3.60 UPSET
Dec 28 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 1–6
30.0%
56.8%
0.82
Dec 27 Boston Jr Eagles @ South Shore Kings 2–2
38.9%
46.6%
2.79
Dec 27 Boston Jr Eagles @ South Shore Kings 6–2
38.9%
46.6%
1.36
Dec 27 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 2–6
23.9%
63.3%
0.66
Dec 21 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Eagles 3–3
40.4%
45.7%
2.84
Dec 21 MassConn United Hockey Club @ NorthStars Hockey Club 2–3
42.1%
43.1%
1.22
Dec 21 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 5–2
73.0%
16.2%
0.45
Dec 21 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 6–2
66.3%
21.3%
0.59
Dec 21 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 8–1
93.2%
3.3%
0.10
Dec 20 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–3
55.9%
29.7%
1.75
Dec 20 Boston Jr Eagles @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–5
62.4%
25.4%
1.97
Dec 20 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 6–4
29.7%
55.9%
1.75
Dec 20 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 2–4
24.8%
61.9%
0.69
Dec 20 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 4–3
26.9%
59.5%
1.89
Dec 14 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 0–1
55.2%
30.8%
1.70
Dec 14 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–2
70.2%
18.7%
0.51
Dec 14 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ NorthStars Hockey Club 3–3
62.3%
24.5%
2.93 UPSET
Dec 14 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–5
55.2%
30.8%
1.70
Dec 14 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–4
7.7%
86.1%
4.01 UPSET
Dec 13 South Shore Kings @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 0–4
72.8%
16.2%
2.63 UPSET
Dec 13 Boston Jr Eagles @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 4–4
33.7%
53.0%
2.91 UPSET
Dec 13 NorthStars Hockey Club @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–3
44.2%
41.0%
2.76
Dec 13 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 6–5
64.4%
23.2%
0.64
Dec 07 Boston Jr Eagles @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–2
71.8%
17.2%
0.48
Dec 07 NorthStars Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 1–4
31.7%
53.7%
0.90
Dec 07 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 3–1
66.3%
21.6%
0.59
Dec 07 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 8–2
74.5%
15.9%
0.43
Dec 06 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–3
31.0%
54.9%
1.69
Dec 06 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 8–2
90.4%
5.0%
0.15
Dec 06 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ MassConn United Hockey Club 4–3
58.0%
29.3%
0.79
Dec 06 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ South Shore Kings 5–4
14.8%
74.6%
2.75 UPSET
Dec 06 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–4
10.6%
81.2%
0.30
Nov 30 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 1–3
26.7%
59.4%
0.75
Nov 30 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 4–5
13.4%
77.2%
0.37
Nov 30 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–1
81.8%
10.2%
0.29
Nov 29 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–1
72.2%
17.0%
0.47
Nov 29 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–3
79.1%
12.1%
0.34
Nov 29 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 3–6
2.8%
94.1%
0.09
Nov 23 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 5–3
25.2%
61.2%
1.99
Nov 23 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 7–4
77.7%
13.1%
0.36
Nov 23 South Shore Kings @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 6–0
39.3%
46.4%
1.35
Nov 23 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 5–3
77.7%
13.1%
0.36
Nov 22 Boston Jr Eagles @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 7–3
87.2%
7.0%
0.20
Nov 22 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 3–5
10.1%
81.7%
0.29
Nov 22 South Shore Kings @ MassConn United Hockey Club 4–1
55.5%
30.8%
0.85
Nov 22 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 2–4
19.9%
67.9%
0.56
Nov 16 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–6
76.2%
13.7%
2.87 UPSET
Nov 16 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–7
4.2%
91.6%
0.13
Nov 16 MassConn United Hockey Club @ NorthStars Hockey Club 1–4
43.1%
42.3%
1.24
Nov 16 Boston Jr Eagles @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 6–2
30.4%
57.1%
1.72
Nov 15 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 5–5
37.5%
48.8%
2.87
Nov 15 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 5–1
32.3%
53.0%
1.63
Nov 15 South Shore Kings @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 4–3
87.3%
6.6%
0.20
Nov 15 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 7–4
27.0%
60.7%
1.89
Nov 15 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 4–3
72.5%
16.5%
0.46
Nov 09 MassConn United Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 4–4
21.2%
66.8%
3.05 UPSET
Nov 09 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–8
37.0%
48.2%
1.05
Nov 08 South Shore Kings @ NorthStars Hockey Club 5–3
57.3%
28.4%
0.80
Nov 08 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 7–3
90.6%
5.0%
0.14
Nov 08 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–8
34.6%
50.5%
0.99
Nov 08 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Eagles 1–4
11.2%
80.5%
0.31
Nov 02 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–2
45.0%
40.6%
1.15
Nov 02 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 6–1
80.9%
10.5%
0.31
Nov 01 South Shore Kings @ NorthStars Hockey Club 4–1
47.1%
37.7%
1.09
Nov 01 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–2
14.6%
75.4%
3.32 UPSET
Oct 26 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ South Shore Kings 3–2
8.6%
84.0%
3.54 UPSET
Oct 26 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 3–4
54.7%
32.5%
1.62
Oct 25 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ South Shore Kings 0–1
61.5%
25.5%
1.97
Oct 25 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–2
49.4%
33.0%
1.02
Oct 25 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ NorthStars Hockey Club 0–9
27.5%
57.6%
0.80
Oct 19 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–3
72.4%
15.0%
2.74 UPSET
Oct 19 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–4
68.9%
20.2%
3.21 UPSET
Oct 18 South Shore Kings @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–6
43.7%
41.4%
1.27
Oct 18 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–4
15.0%
73.8%
0.44
Oct 18 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–4
34.8%
50.6%
0.98
Oct 18 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–8
9.2%
83.7%
0.26
Oct 12 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 5–0
65.9%
21.6%
0.60
Oct 11 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ NorthStars Hockey Club 4–3
61.6%
23.5%
0.70
Oct 11 Boston Jr Eagles @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–4
80.0%
11.2%
3.16 UPSET
Oct 11 MassConn United Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–2
17.9%
72.8%
2.48
Oct 05 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 0–4
14.7%
76.1%
0.39
Oct 05 NorthStars Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 6–4
14.5%
74.8%
2.79 UPSET
Oct 05 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 5–2
41.8%
39.3%
1.26
Oct 04 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 2–7
66.2%
21.0%
2.25
Oct 04 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ MassConn United Hockey Club 5–5
33.3%
53.4%
2.91 UPSET
Oct 04 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 2–1
17.1%
67.9%
2.55 UPSET
Oct 04 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 5–4
22.4%
66.7%
2.16
Sep 28 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 1–4
5.0%
90.7%
0.14
Sep 28 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–5
19.4%
71.7%
0.48
Sep 28 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 1–6
6.1%
86.7%
0.21
Sep 28 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 2–2
63.7%
22.5%
2.85 UPSET
Sep 27 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 2–4
42.1%
40.1%
1.32
Sep 27 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 7–0
67.4%
21.5%
0.57
Sep 27 NorthStars Hockey Club @ MassConn United Hockey Club 6–4
42.7%
39.6%
1.23
Sep 27 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 0–5
54.4%
32.4%
1.63
Sep 27 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ South Shore Kings 3–4 50/50 —
Sep 21 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–4
3.4%
92.2% ⚠
4.52 UPSET
Sep 21 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 1–6
2.1%
95.8% ⚠
0.06
Sep 21 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 3–5
10.2%
80.6% ⚠
0.31
Sep 20 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 6–5
74.6%
18.1% ⚠
0.42
Sep 20 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–7 50/50 —
Sep 20 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 0–6 50/50 —
Sep 14 Boston Jr Eagles @ NorthStars Hockey Club 7–4 50/50 —
Sep 14 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ South Shore Kings 6–5 50/50 —
Sep 14 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 4–6 50/50 —
Sep 13 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ South Shore Kings 1–3 50/50 —
Sep 13 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ MassConn United Hockey Club 6–2 50/50 —
Sep 13 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 3–0 50/50 —
Sep 13 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 2–9 50/50 —
Sep 13 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Boston Jr Eagles 6–4 50/50 —
Sep 07 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 7–4 50/50 —
Sep 06 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 1–3 50/50 —
Sep 06 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Eagles 3–4 50/50 —
Sep 06 South Shore Kings @ MassConn United Hockey Club 5–3 50/50 —
Sep 06 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–8 50/50 —
Sep 06 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 7–4 50/50 —