The Sheet

What is Surprisal? Surprisal measures how surprising a result was, based on pre-game probabilities. 0 bits = perfectly predicted. 3+ bits = major upset. A result is flagged as an UPSET when surprisal exceeds 2.5 bits.

Standings

# Team GP W L T GF GA PTS
1 Bulldogs Hockey Club 36 25 6 5 177 106 55
2 Boston Jr Terriers (White) 36 22 9 5 161 104 49
3 Boston Jr Eagles 36 21 9 6 151 107 48
4 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 36 20 9 7 147 118 47
5 South Shore Kings 35 19 12 4 124 105 42
6 NorthStars Hockey Club 36 11 21 4 102 124 26
7 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 36 12 23 1 114 160 25
8 Islanders Hockey Club (East) 36 11 22 3 93 134 25
9 MassConn United Hockey Club 35 10 22 3 120 145 23
10 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 36 7 25 4 100 186 18

Game Log

Date Matchup Score Pre-game Probability Surprisal Flag
Feb 22 Boston Jr Eagles @ NorthStars Hockey Club 3–2
66.0%
20.8%
0.60
Feb 22 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ South Shore Kings 2–2
55.2%
30.2%
2.77 UPSET
Feb 22 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 5–6
32.1%
52.6%
0.93
Feb 22 MassConn United Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 5–3
22.2%
65.6%
2.17
Feb 22 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 3–8
10.9%
80.9%
0.31
Feb 21 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 2–2
46.0%
39.9%
2.82
Feb 21 NorthStars Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 2–6
29.7%
54.6%
0.87
Feb 21 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–5
49.4%
36.5%
1.46
Feb 21 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 2–5
55.7%
29.4%
1.77
Feb 21 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–2
37.7%
47.7%
2.78
Feb 20 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–4
80.0%
11.4%
3.54 UPSET
Feb 15 South Shore Kings @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 7–3
75.8%
13.8%
0.40
Feb 15 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 7–7
40.8%
44.7%
2.78
Feb 14 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 4–6
59.6%
27.1%
1.88
Feb 14 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ MassConn United Hockey Club 8–3
75.0%
15.0%
0.41
Feb 14 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 7–1
31.5%
54.2%
1.67
Feb 11 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–2
49.0%
34.5%
2.60 UPSET
Feb 08 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 2–5
13.6%
76.6%
0.38
Feb 08 Boston Jr Eagles @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–5
35.2%
50.6%
0.98
Feb 08 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ South Shore Kings 4–4
48.3%
36.4%
2.71
Feb 08 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 5–6
13.6%
76.6%
0.38
Feb 08 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–4
51.1%
32.5%
1.62
Feb 07 Boston Jr Eagles @ MassConn United Hockey Club 2–0
66.9%
21.3%
0.58
Feb 07 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–2
42.9%
41.2%
1.22
Feb 07 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–5
55.4%
30.8%
1.70
Feb 07 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–3
25.3%
60.7%
0.72
Feb 06 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–3
25.7%
61.3%
1.96
Feb 01 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 6–2
21.5%
66.3%
2.22
Feb 01 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–5
15.3%
74.8%
0.42
Feb 01 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 2–4
59.9%
26.7%
1.90
Feb 01 South Shore Kings @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–2
61.0%
24.2%
0.71
Jan 31 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–2
77.5%
12.6%
0.37
Jan 31 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ South Shore Kings 4–7
27.4%
58.2%
0.78
Jan 31 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Eagles 3–4
5.9%
88.4%
0.18
Jan 31 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ MassConn United Hockey Club 5–1
60.1%
27.1%
0.74
Jan 31 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–7
18.7%
68.7%
0.54
Jan 25 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 6–0
91.5%
4.2%
0.13
Jan 25 Boston Jr Eagles @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 6–7
51.2%
34.5%
1.54
Jan 24 South Shore Kings @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 0–3
29.0%
56.8%
0.82
Jan 24 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 6–4
35.4%
50.4%
1.50
Jan 24 Boston Jr Eagles @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 3–1
88.9%
5.7%
0.17
Jan 24 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ NorthStars Hockey Club 1–2
55.7%
29.5%
1.76
Jan 24 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–3
12.0%
78.0%
0.36
Jan 18 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 2–3
72.2%
16.2%
2.62 UPSET
Jan 18 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 3–5
8.2%
84.9%
0.24
Jan 17 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 6–4
23.8%
63.3%
2.07
Jan 17 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ NorthStars Hockey Club 1–4
19.2%
68.5%
0.55
Jan 11 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 5–1
61.7%
25.2%
0.70
Jan 11 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 1–0
73.9%
16.2%
0.44
Jan 11 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 3–4
58.7%
27.3%
1.87
Jan 11 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Boston Jr Eagles 3–4
56.2%
29.7%
1.75
Jan 10 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–6
19.9%
67.6%
0.56
Jan 10 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Eagles 0–7
7.1%
86.9%
0.20
Jan 10 South Shore Kings @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 2–5
43.4%
40.9%
1.29
Jan 04 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–7
54.5%
31.6%
1.66
Jan 04 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–2
81.5%
9.7%
0.29
Jan 04 NorthStars Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 1–6
34.9%
49.7%
1.01
Jan 04 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 4–4
80.1%
11.6%
3.59 UPSET
Jan 04 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Eagles 0–4
38.3%
46.6%
1.10
Jan 03 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ South Shore Kings 3–1
8.1%
85.0%
3.63 UPSET
Jan 03 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 5–6
52.4%
33.8%
1.56
Jan 03 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 2–6
32.6%
52.3%
0.94
Jan 03 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ NorthStars Hockey Club 5–3
48.0%
36.3%
1.06
Dec 28 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 1–6
29.8%
56.7%
0.82
Dec 27 Boston Jr Eagles @ South Shore Kings 2–2
38.4%
46.7%
2.75
Dec 27 Boston Jr Eagles @ South Shore Kings 6–2
38.4%
46.7%
1.38
Dec 27 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 2–6
23.8%
63.1%
0.67
Dec 21 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 6–2
66.3%
20.8%
0.59
Dec 21 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 8–1
93.1%
3.3%
0.10
Dec 21 MassConn United Hockey Club @ NorthStars Hockey Club 2–3
41.6%
42.9%
1.22
Dec 21 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 5–2
72.7%
15.9%
0.46
Dec 21 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Eagles 3–3
40.3%
45.6%
2.82
Dec 20 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–3
55.5%
29.1%
1.78
Dec 20 Boston Jr Eagles @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–5
62.5%
25.2%
1.99
Dec 20 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 6–4
29.1%
55.5%
1.78
Dec 20 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 2–4
24.5%
61.6%
0.70
Dec 20 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 4–3
26.9%
58.8%
1.90
Dec 14 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–4
7.6%
86.1%
4.00 UPSET
Dec 14 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 0–1
55.0%
30.5%
1.71
Dec 14 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–2
70.1%
18.6%
0.51
Dec 14 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ NorthStars Hockey Club 3–3
62.1%
24.1%
2.86 UPSET
Dec 14 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 3–5
55.0%
30.5%
1.71
Dec 13 South Shore Kings @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 0–4
72.8%
15.5%
2.69 UPSET
Dec 13 Boston Jr Eagles @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 4–4
33.6%
53.0%
2.90 UPSET
Dec 13 NorthStars Hockey Club @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–3
44.0%
40.7%
2.71
Dec 13 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 6–5
64.3%
23.1%
0.64
Dec 07 Boston Jr Eagles @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 4–2
71.7%
17.0%
0.48
Dec 07 NorthStars Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 1–4
30.8%
53.5%
0.90
Dec 07 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 3–1
66.3%
21.4%
0.59
Dec 07 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 8–2
74.5%
15.8%
0.42
Dec 06 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–3
30.7%
54.7%
1.71
Dec 06 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 8–2
90.4%
5.0%
0.15
Dec 06 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ MassConn United Hockey Club 4–3
58.0%
29.3%
0.79
Dec 06 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ South Shore Kings 5–4
14.0%
74.6%
2.84 UPSET
Dec 06 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–4
10.5%
81.0%
0.30
Nov 30 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 1–3
25.8%
58.9%
0.76
Nov 30 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–1
81.6%
10.1%
0.29
Nov 30 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 4–5
13.3%
77.1%
0.37
Nov 29 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–1
72.2%
16.7%
0.47
Nov 29 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–3
79.0%
12.0%
0.34
Nov 29 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 3–6
2.8%
94.0%
0.09
Nov 23 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 5–3
77.4%
13.2%
0.37
Nov 23 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 5–3
24.6%
60.9%
2.02
Nov 23 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 7–4
77.4%
13.2%
0.37
Nov 23 South Shore Kings @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 6–0
39.4%
45.9%
1.34
Nov 22 Boston Jr Eagles @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 7–3
87.2%
6.9%
0.20
Nov 22 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 3–5
9.8%
81.7%
0.29
Nov 22 South Shore Kings @ MassConn United Hockey Club 4–1
55.7%
30.4%
0.84
Nov 22 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 2–4
19.6%
67.4%
0.57
Nov 16 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–6
76.3%
13.0%
2.94 UPSET
Nov 16 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–7
4.2%
91.6%
0.13
Nov 16 MassConn United Hockey Club @ NorthStars Hockey Club 1–4
42.9%
42.1%
1.25
Nov 16 Boston Jr Eagles @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 6–2
30.3%
57.1%
1.72
Nov 15 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 5–1
31.7%
52.5%
1.66
Nov 15 South Shore Kings @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 4–3
87.5%
6.4%
0.19
Nov 15 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 7–4
27.0%
60.6%
1.89
Nov 15 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 5–5
37.4%
48.7%
2.85
Nov 15 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 4–3
72.0%
16.2%
0.47
Nov 09 MassConn United Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 4–4
20.7%
67.0%
3.02 UPSET
Nov 09 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–8
36.7%
47.9%
1.06
Nov 08 South Shore Kings @ NorthStars Hockey Club 5–3
57.1%
27.2%
0.81
Nov 08 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 7–3
90.6%
5.0%
0.14
Nov 08 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–8
34.0%
50.1%
1.00
Nov 08 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Eagles 1–4
11.1%
80.5%
0.31
Nov 02 South Shore Kings @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–2
45.5%
39.8%
1.14
Nov 02 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 6–1
80.5%
10.1%
0.31
Nov 01 South Shore Kings @ NorthStars Hockey Club 4–1
47.0%
36.4%
1.09
Nov 01 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–2
14.5%
75.3%
3.28 UPSET
Oct 26 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ South Shore Kings 3–2
8.0%
84.2%
3.64 UPSET
Oct 26 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 3–4
54.8%
32.4%
1.63
Oct 25 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ South Shore Kings 0–1
61.5%
25.5%
1.97
Oct 25 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 4–2
49.4%
33.0%
1.02
Oct 25 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ NorthStars Hockey Club 0–9
27.5%
57.6%
0.80
Oct 19 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 2–3
72.4%
15.0%
2.74 UPSET
Oct 19 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–4
68.9%
20.2%
3.21 UPSET
Oct 18 South Shore Kings @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 2–6
43.7%
41.4%
1.27
Oct 18 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–4
15.0%
73.8%
0.44
Oct 18 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–4
34.8%
50.6%
0.98
Oct 18 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 1–8
9.2%
83.7%
0.26
Oct 12 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 5–0
65.9%
21.6%
0.60
Oct 11 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ NorthStars Hockey Club 4–3
61.6%
23.5%
0.70
Oct 11 Boston Jr Eagles @ Islanders Hockey Club (East) 2–4
80.0%
11.2%
3.16 UPSET
Oct 11 MassConn United Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–2
17.9%
72.8%
2.48
Oct 05 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 0–4
14.7%
76.1%
0.39
Oct 05 NorthStars Hockey Club @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 6–4
14.5%
74.8%
2.79 UPSET
Oct 05 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 5–2
41.8%
39.3%
1.26
Oct 04 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ South Shore Kings 2–7
66.2%
21.0%
2.25
Oct 04 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ MassConn United Hockey Club 5–5
33.3%
53.4%
2.91 UPSET
Oct 04 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ NorthStars Hockey Club 2–1
17.1%
67.9%
2.55 UPSET
Oct 04 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 5–4
22.4%
66.7%
2.16
Sep 28 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 1–6
6.1%
86.7%
0.21
Sep 28 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 2–2
63.7%
22.5%
2.85 UPSET
Sep 28 MassConn United Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 2–5
19.4%
71.7%
0.48
Sep 28 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 1–4
5.0%
90.7%
0.14
Sep 27 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 2–4
42.1%
40.1%
1.32
Sep 27 Boston Jr Eagles @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 7–0
67.4%
21.5%
0.57
Sep 27 NorthStars Hockey Club @ MassConn United Hockey Club 6–4
42.7%
39.6%
1.23
Sep 27 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 0–5
54.4%
32.4%
1.63
Sep 27 BOSTON VIPERS 2016 @ South Shore Kings 3–4 50/50 —
Sep 21 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 3–5
10.2%
80.6% ⚠
0.31
Sep 21 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Eagles 4–4
3.4%
92.2% ⚠
4.52 UPSET
Sep 21 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 1–6
2.1%
95.8% ⚠
0.06
Sep 20 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Eagles 6–5
74.6%
18.1% ⚠
0.42
Sep 20 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ MassConn United Hockey Club 3–7 50/50 —
Sep 20 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ Boston Jr Terriers (White) 0–6 50/50 —
Sep 14 Boston Jr Eagles @ NorthStars Hockey Club 7–4 50/50 —
Sep 14 Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum @ South Shore Kings 6–5 50/50 —
Sep 14 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 4–6 50/50 —
Sep 13 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ South Shore Kings 1–3 50/50 —
Sep 13 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ MassConn United Hockey Club 6–2 50/50 —
Sep 13 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 3–0 50/50 —
Sep 13 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 2–9 50/50 —
Sep 13 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Boston Jr Eagles 6–4 50/50 —
Sep 07 Bulldogs Hockey Club @ Boston Jr Terriers (Red) 7–4 50/50 —
Sep 06 Boston Jr Terriers (Red) @ Boston Jr Eagles 3–4 50/50 —
Sep 06 South Shore Kings @ MassConn United Hockey Club 5–3 50/50 —
Sep 06 Islanders Hockey Club (East) @ BOSTON VIPERS 2016 4–8 50/50 —
Sep 06 Boston Jr Terriers (White) @ Bay State Breakers 2016 Platinum 7–4 50/50 —
Sep 06 NorthStars Hockey Club @ Bulldogs Hockey Club 1–3 50/50 —