Season Review

What is Surprisal? Surprisal measures how surprising a result was, based on pre-game probabilities. 0 bits = perfectly predicted. 3+ bits = major upset. A result is flagged as an UPSET when surprisal exceeds 2.5 bits.

Standings

# Team GP W L T GF GA PTS
1 Boston Jr Dogs (White) 35 26 5 4 136 54 56
2 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 35 25 6 4 143 53 54
3 Team Merrimack East 35 22 8 5 99 67 49
4 Team Boston 35 13 17 5 63 90 31
5 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 35 10 16 9 49 59 29
6 MC Selects 34 11 19 4 57 117 26
7 Providence (South) - Joannette 35 6 23 6 69 127 18
8 South Shore Knights 34 5 24 5 56 105 15

Game Log

Date Matchup Score Pre-game Probability Surprisal Flag
Feb 22 Providence (South) - Joannette @ South Shore Knights 1–3
44.6%
38.9%
1.36
Feb 22 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 3–0
73.4%
13.7%
0.45
Feb 22 MC Selects @ Team Boston 3–1
28.5%
55.4%
1.81
Feb 21 MC Selects @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 0–8
3.5%
92.0%
0.12
Feb 21 South Shore Knights @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 2–5
4.4%
90.2%
0.15
Feb 21 Team Boston @ Team Merrimack East 1–5
20.9%
64.5%
0.63
Feb 15 South Shore Knights @ Team Boston 2–2
29.8%
53.6%
2.59 UPSET
Feb 15 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Providence (South) - Joannette 8–1
90.7%
4.3%
0.14
Feb 14 MC Selects @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 1–4
3.5%
92.1%
0.12
Feb 14 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Team Boston 2–2
83.1%
8.4%
3.55 UPSET
Feb 08 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Team Merrimack East 3–3
63.4%
22.4%
2.82 UPSET
Feb 08 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–1
74.2%
13.8%
3.06 UPSET
Feb 07 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 3–2
40.1%
43.7%
1.32
Feb 07 Team Boston @ MC Selects 2–0
52.8%
31.2%
0.92
Feb 07 Team Merrimack East @ South Shore Knights 3–0
74.8%
13.9%
0.42
Feb 01 Team Merrimack East @ Team Boston 3–0
63.6%
21.9%
0.65
Feb 01 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ MC Selects 8–1
90.8%
4.2%
0.14
Feb 01 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ South Shore Knights 1–0
91.4%
3.8%
0.13
Feb 01 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Providence (South) - Joannette 2–2
52.5%
30.2%
2.53 UPSET
Jan 31 South Shore Knights @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 0–3
4.1%
90.8%
0.14
Jan 31 Team Merrimack East @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 2–1
19.0%
67.9%
2.40
Jan 31 Providence (South) - Joannette @ MC Selects 2–2
45.4%
38.5%
2.63
Jan 25 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Providence (South) - Joannette 7–0
90.8%
4.3%
0.14
Jan 25 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Team Merrimack East 1–3
29.8%
51.6%
0.95
Jan 24 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 1–5
4.6%
90.1%
0.15
Jan 24 South Shore Knights @ Team Merrimack East 2–3
14.1%
74.2%
0.43
Jan 24 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ MC Selects 4–0
91.2%
4.0%
0.13
Jan 24 Team Boston @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–0
34.1%
45.1%
1.55
Jan 18 South Shore Knights @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–4
26.3%
54.3%
0.88
Jan 18 South Shore Knights @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 2–1
26.3%
54.3%
1.92
Jan 11 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Team Merrimack East 3–4
68.6%
18.5%
2.44
Jan 11 Team Boston @ South Shore Knights 2–5
59.0%
25.6%
1.97
Jan 11 Team Boston @ South Shore Knights 1–1
59.0%
25.6%
2.70 UPSET
Jan 11 MC Selects @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–2
28.2%
54.1%
0.89
Jan 11 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Providence (South) - Joannette 2–2
92.1%
3.6%
4.54 UPSET
Jan 10 Team Boston @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 3–0
6.6%
86.4%
3.93 UPSET
Jan 10 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 0–5
3.7%
92.0%
0.12
Jan 10 South Shore Knights @ MC Selects 2–3
37.4%
45.9%
1.12
Jan 10 Team Merrimack East @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–2
52.7%
28.7%
1.80
Jan 04 Team Boston @ Team Merrimack East 2–4
23.9%
62.4%
0.68
Jan 04 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–1
78.1%
12.6%
3.44 UPSET
Jan 04 MC Selects @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 0–6
4.6%
90.4%
0.15
Jan 04 South Shore Knights @ Providence (South) - Joannette 1–1
33.4%
51.5%
2.73 UPSET
Jan 03 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 1–2
34.9%
50.1%
1.00
Jan 03 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ South Shore Knights 2–1
55.5%
29.9%
0.85
Jan 03 Team Merrimack East @ Providence (South) - Joannette 3–2
72.2%
16.4%
0.47
Dec 28 MC Selects @ Providence (South) - Joannette 3–1
36.6%
48.5%
1.45
Dec 28 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Team Boston 0–3
48.8%
35.3%
1.50
Dec 27 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Team Boston 0–1
40.1%
44.2%
1.18
Dec 21 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Team Merrimack East 4–2
71.8%
16.3%
0.48
Dec 21 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ South Shore Knights 7–3
91.6%
3.8%
0.13
Dec 21 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Team Merrimack East 1–2
71.8%
16.3%
2.62 UPSET
Dec 21 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Providence (South) - Joannette 3–0
47.8%
36.2%
1.07
Dec 20 Team Boston @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 2–2
6.6%
87.0%
3.96 UPSET
Dec 20 South Shore Knights @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 0–5
3.1%
93.2%
0.10
Dec 20 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ MC Selects 1–1
55.0%
31.3%
2.87 UPSET
Dec 20 Team Merrimack East @ Providence (South) - Joannette 5–2
66.3%
21.0%
0.59
Dec 14 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Team Boston 0–1
44.9%
39.8%
1.33
Dec 14 MC Selects @ Team Merrimack East 2–3
16.6%
71.5%
0.48
Dec 14 MC Selects @ Team Merrimack East 1–3
16.6%
71.5%
0.48
Dec 13 South Shore Knights @ Team Merrimack East 1–2
15.2%
73.4%
0.45
Dec 13 Team Boston @ MC Selects 0–2
53.3%
31.3%
1.67
Dec 07 MC Selects @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–1
29.5%
57.4%
2.93 UPSET
Dec 07 Providence (South) - Joannette @ South Shore Knights 2–4
62.1%
24.5%
2.03
Dec 06 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Team Merrimack East 1–1
32.3%
55.0%
2.97 UPSET
Dec 06 Team Boston @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 1–4
5.9%
88.2%
0.18
Dec 06 South Shore Knights @ MC Selects 1–3
40.5%
44.2%
1.18
Nov 30 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Team Boston 7–0
82.1%
9.7%
0.28
Nov 30 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Team Merrimack East 3–4
21.4%
65.9%
0.60
Nov 29 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 1–2
16.4%
73.5%
0.44
Nov 29 Team Merrimack East @ Team Boston 4–1
57.0%
28.8%
0.81
Nov 23 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ South Shore Knights 3–1
92.7%
3.4%
0.11
Nov 22 South Shore Knights @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 2–2
27.1%
60.8%
3.05 UPSET
Nov 22 Team Boston @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 1–4
10.4%
81.1%
0.30
Nov 22 Team Merrimack East @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 1–4
18.2%
70.1%
0.51
Nov 22 Providence (South) - Joannette @ MC Selects 0–3
66.2%
21.8%
2.20
Nov 16 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Providence (South) - Joannette 2–3
46.8%
38.4%
1.38
Nov 16 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ South Shore Knights 4–2
95.6%
1.9%
0.07
Nov 16 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ MC Selects 10–1
90.5%
4.6%
0.14
Nov 15 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 3–7
9.2%
83.2%
0.27
Nov 15 Team Boston @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–0
39.8%
46.3%
1.33
Nov 15 MC Selects @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 1–5
2.3%
94.9%
0.08
Nov 09 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–0
69.0%
19.7%
0.54
Nov 09 MC Selects @ South Shore Knights 1–1
52.4%
32.9%
2.76 UPSET
Nov 09 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Team Merrimack East 4–4
22.5%
64.5%
2.94 UPSET
Nov 08 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 0–2
14.1%
76.3%
0.39
Nov 08 South Shore Knights @ Team Boston 1–4
24.5%
62.0%
0.69
Nov 02 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ South Shore Knights 2–0
97.4%
1.1%
0.04
Nov 02 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Team Merrimack East 2–2
32.5%
54.1%
2.91 UPSET
Nov 02 MC Selects @ Team Boston 2–1
24.7%
62.0%
2.02
Nov 01 Team Merrimack East @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 1–2
27.6%
58.5%
0.77
Nov 01 Providence (South) - Joannette @ South Shore Knights 7–1
51.8%
33.6%
0.95
Nov 01 MC Selects @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 2–4
1.1%
97.5%
0.04
Nov 01 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Team Boston 0–1
45.9%
39.7%
1.33
Oct 26 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Team Boston 7–2
86.1%
7.2%
0.22
Oct 26 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ South Shore Knights 2–0
54.4%
31.5%
0.88
Oct 26 MC Selects @ Team Merrimack East 0–3
12.8%
77.5%
0.37
Oct 26 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Providence (South) - Joannette 1–2
92.5%
3.6%
4.80 UPSET
Oct 25 Team Merrimack East @ South Shore Knights 5–1
64.0%
22.9%
0.64
Oct 25 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 1–4
13.7%
76.7%
0.38
Oct 25 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ MC Selects 9–1
91.5%
4.1%
0.13
Oct 25 Team Boston @ Providence (South) - Joannette 6–2
47.7%
37.2%
1.07
Oct 18 Team Boston @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 2–3
6.7%
87.0%
0.20
Oct 18 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 2–4
2.3%
94.9%
0.08
Oct 18 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ MC Selects 1–0
61.5%
24.9%
0.70
Oct 12 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Team Merrimack East 4–1
70.5%
17.9%
0.50
Oct 12 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 3–2
21.8%
65.6%
2.20
Oct 11 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 2–3
17.0%
72.0%
0.47
Oct 11 Team Merrimack East @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 3–3
13.8%
76.2%
3.32 UPSET
Oct 05 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Providence (South) - Joannette 4–3
98.4%
0.6%
0.02
Oct 05 Team Merrimack East @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 2–5
22.5%
64.9%
0.62
Oct 04 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 3–4
64.3%
22.7%
2.14
Oct 04 Team Merrimack East @ MC Selects 5–3
73.8%
15.7%
0.44
Oct 04 Team Boston @ Providence (South) - Joannette 4–4
60.6%
25.6%
2.86 UPSET
Sep 28 Team Boston @ Team Merrimack East 0–2
32.0%
54.1%
0.89
Sep 27 South Shore Knights @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 1–7
7.5%
84.5%
0.24
Sep 27 Team Merrimack East @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 0–1
44.8%
31.9%
1.65
Sep 27 MC Selects @ Providence (South) - Joannette 5–3
43.8%
40.2%
1.19
Sep 27 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Team Boston 1–3
98.9%
0.3%
8.18 UPSET
Sep 21 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Providence (South) - Joannette 8–1
99.6%
0.1% ⚠
0.01
Sep 21 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ MC Selects 1–3
85.4%
6.3% ⚠
3.98 UPSET
Sep 20 MC Selects @ South Shore Knights 1–7
63.3%
22.4% ⚠
2.16
Sep 20 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Team Boston 1–3
44.6%
40.4% ⚠
1.31
Sep 20 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 4–3
86.5%
5.6% ⚠
0.21
Sep 14 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Team Boston 9–2
99.8%
0.0% ⚠
0.00
Sep 14 Team Merrimack East @ South Shore Knights 3–2 50/50 —
Sep 14 Boston Jr Dogs (Red) @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 2–2 50/50 —
Sep 14 Providence (South) - Joannette @ MC Selects 5–1
0.3%
99.3% ⚠
8.46 UPSET
Sep 13 Team Merrimack East @ Providence (South) - Joannette 6–0 50/50 —
Sep 13 Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum @ Boston Jr Dogs (White) 0–4 50/50 —
Sep 13 South Shore Knights @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 2–5 50/50 —
Sep 13 Team Boston @ MC Selects 2–5 50/50 —
Sep 07 South Shore Knights @ Team Boston 2–4 50/50 —
Sep 07 Providence (South) - Joannette @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 2–5 50/50 —
Sep 07 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ MC Selects 10–1 50/50 —
Sep 06 South Shore Knights @ Providence (South) - Joannette 2–4 50/50 —
Sep 06 Team Boston @ Bay State Waves 2018 Platinum 1–3 50/50 —
Sep 06 Boston Jr Dogs (White) @ Boston Jr Dogs (Red) 3–1 50/50 —
Sep 06 Team Merrimack East @ MC Selects 1–3 50/50 —