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FINAL Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
Minuteman Flames
6–5
Top Gun

Prediction vs. Result

201 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Flames 69.8% Draw 12.5% 17.7% Top Gun
Minuteman Flames won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.52 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Top Gun.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.