FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 22, 2026
IHC West - Fairbarn
3–2
NorthStars Hockey Club
Prediction vs. Result
213 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
IHC West - Fairbarn 77.8%
Draw 9.7%
12.5% NorthStars Hockey Club
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.36 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = IHC West - Fairbarn, columns = NorthStars Hockey Club.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.