FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 14, 2026
Spartans - Flood
6–5
Jr Mounties 2016
Prediction vs. Result
180 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Spartans - Flood 87.0%
Draw 5.9%
7.1% Jr Mounties 2016
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.20 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Spartans - Flood, columns = Jr Mounties 2016.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.