FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 21, 2026
Top Gun - Lemire
10–3
Jr Mounties 2016
Prediction vs. Result
195 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun - Lemire 85.7%
Draw 6.5%
7.8% Jr Mounties 2016
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.22 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Lemire, columns = Jr Mounties 2016.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.