FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
Shamrocks - Tavares
1–5
NorthStars - Tuccio
Prediction vs. Result
190 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Tavares 20.7%
Draw 15.3%
63.9% NorthStars - Tuccio
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.65 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Tavares, columns = NorthStars - Tuccio.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.