FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 08, 2026
Top Gun - Lemire
5–6
Spartans - Flood
Prediction vs. Result
177 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun - Lemire 38.7%
Draw 15.6%
45.7% Spartans - Flood
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.13 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Lemire, columns = Spartans - Flood.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.