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FINAL Regular Season · Feb 20, 2026
Providence Capitals (North) - Warnock
2–12
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin

Prediction vs. Result

192 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Providence Capitals (North) - Warnock 0.4% Draw 0.8% 98.8% Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin
Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.02 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals (North) - Warnock, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Goodwin.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.