FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 14, 2026
NorthStars - Conley
1–4
Manchester Flames - Haskell
Prediction vs. Result
203 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
NorthStars - Conley 41.1%
Draw 20.8%
38.1% Manchester Flames - Haskell
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.39 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Conley, columns = Manchester Flames - Haskell.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.