FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
Manchester Flames - Haskell
2–2
NorthStars - Conley
Prediction vs. Result
204 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Manchester Flames - Haskell 36.4%
Draw 20.6%
43.0% NorthStars - Conley
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
2.28 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Manchester Flames - Haskell, columns = NorthStars - Conley.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.