FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 01, 2026
Northern Cyclones - Ellis
4–5
IHC West - Villa
Prediction vs. Result
398 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Northern Cyclones - Ellis 47.9%
Draw 15.2%
36.9% IHC West - Villa
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.44 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northern Cyclones - Ellis, columns = IHC West - Villa.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.