FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 24, 2026
NorthStars - Fournier
6–1
Minuteman Flames - Lester
Prediction vs. Result
362 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
NorthStars - Fournier 50.5%
Draw 14.9%
34.6% Minuteman Flames - Lester
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.98 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = NorthStars - Fournier, columns = Minuteman Flames - Lester.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.