FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 21, 2026
Minuteman Flames - Lester
4–1
IHC West - Villa
Prediction vs. Result
444 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames - Lester 41.2%
Draw 14.8%
44.0% IHC West - Villa
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.28 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames - Lester, columns = IHC West - Villa.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.