FINAL
Regular Season · Dec 28, 2025
Northern Cyclones - Ellis
9–3
IHC West - Villa
Prediction vs. Result
306 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Northern Cyclones - Ellis 51.8%
Draw 15.4%
32.7% IHC West - Villa
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.95 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northern Cyclones - Ellis, columns = IHC West - Villa.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.